Blog
Optimizing Profitability in Energy Portfolio Development and Management
March 28, 2025
In today's complex energy portfolio management landscape, independent power producers (IPPs) must balance the need to attract clean energy project investors with the challenge of simultaneously solving for long-term profitability, in which revenue maximization becomes as important an outcome as risk minimization.
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VDER: New York's Valuable Distributed Energy Generation Opportunity
March 27, 2025
For distributed energy generation developers, New York's Value of Distributed Energy Resources (VDER) mechanism has proven to be a high-value alternative to the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) wholesale market.
Blog
Leveraging Bid Optimization Software to Maximize Battery Energy Storage Value
February 27, 2025
Battery energy storage owners and operators face an increasingly complicated power market landscape. As more storage comes online, competition increases in comparatively shallow ancillary services markets. Maximizing asset value requires complex state-of-charge (SOC) management decisions and difficult choices of how and when to participate in ancillaries or energy across day-ahead and real-time markets. Choosing the right automated bid optimization software can often make the difference between profit and loss.
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Data Centers and US Energy Markets: The Need for Speed
February 13, 2025
Sitting squarely at the epicenter of the AI revolution, data centers are driving immense load growth in energy markets.
Blog
NYISO and ISO-NE Market Forecasts: Policy Promises vs. Cost Sensitivity
January 31, 2025
In both the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) and ISO-New England (ISO-NE) electricity markets, the challenges and costs of meeting load growth and clean energy goals are becoming increasingly apparent.
Blog
The Energy Transition Under Trump: Success Strategies for Evolving Power Markets
January 16, 2025
The energy transition during a second Trump administration will contain opportunities and uncertainties for energy project owners and developers. Beyond media narratives, the stated goals of the incoming Trump administration present a somewhat more nuanced approach to energy policy.
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Energy Market Forecasts for Great Britain and the Netherlands: An Exercise in Trust
December 20, 2024
Demand for clean energy and clean energy capacity remains strong throughout Europe, driven by national policy commitments, energy security concerns, and long-term expectations of structurally high gas prices.
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Assessing Energy Resource Value: Opportunity Cost Forecasting Framework Outperforms Traditional Cost Models
November 14, 2024
In today's energy markets, maximizing revenue from energy resources requires an understanding of opportunity costs, rather than legacy production costs, as generators increasingly account for uncertainty in their price bidding behaviors.
Blog
PJM and MISO Q4 2024 Market Outlook: The Coal Catch-22
November 8, 2024
The era of surplus capacity in PJM and MISO is ending. After years of low-capacity prices in an over-built system, load growth, retirements, and evolving reliability modeling are driving a resurgence in capacity value.
Blog
Market Observations and Outlook for PPAs and M&As
October 17, 2024
Accelerating load growth and thermal retirements mean fundamental changes for supply stacks and enormous opportunities for developers and off-takers. With many more projects in interconnection queues than can plausibly be built, however, the market for power purchase agreements (PPAs) and mergers and acquisitions (M&As) has grown increasingly complicated.
Blog
New Market Dynamics: Why Energy Price Formation Models Must Evolve
September 19, 2024
A growing number of solar-plus-storage developers are exploring hedge contracts as alternatives to power purchase agreements for their projects, as it becomes evident that such over-the-counter trades can provide significantly better early-year returns than traditional longer term off take arrangements.
As renewables and storage increasingly drive energy price formation, forecasts must evolve to account for the new market dynamics of the energy transition.
Blog
Unlocking REC & Carbon Value with Locational Marginal Emissions
August 22, 2024
Developers, corporations, and utilities face increasingly complicated decisions when considering how, where, and when to invest in renewable projects while trying to meet evolving carbon reduction goals. Is it safe to assume that today's carbon emissions standards will hold true throughout the multi-decade lifecycle of a project, or should stakeholders look for – and find ways to account for – more efficient decarbonization strategies?
Blog
WECC: A Tale of Two Competing Markets
August 2, 2024
Cooperation among Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) utilities has slowly been building momentum amid a backdrop of renewable buildout, thermal retirements, and clean energy policy evolution. This expansion may be close to a tipping point toward much broader market expansion. A seismic shift looms as SPP and CAISO compete to expand their market operations into the WECC, potentially ushering in a new era of price transparency and transaction capability.
Blog
ERCOT 5.1b Forecast Preview: I Can't Believe It's Not a Capacity Market
July 19, 2024
In a recent webinar previewing the Ascend ERCOT 5.1b Market Report, Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO at Ascend Analytics, joined Dr. Brent Nelson, Managing Director of Markets and Strategy, to discuss ERCOT market dynamics, renewable-driven volatility, and new ERCOT incentives to create the driving force to pull in new capacity.
Blog
CAISO 5.1 Forecast Preview: The Calm Before the Storm
May 16, 2024
2023 proved to be an anomalous year for electricity prices in CAISO, driven by an unlikely combination of mild summer weather, abundant hydro generation, low gas prices, and an absence of heat waves.
Blog
NYISO and ISO-NE Forecast Preview: On Again Off (Shore) Again Relationships
April 10, 2024
Despite aggressive clean energy mandates in New York and the New England states, cost concerns have begun to test policy commitments. Rising peak demand, increasing capacity prices, a shift to winter peaks, and a scarcity of capacity resources further complicates the renewable energy development outlook in New York ISO (NYISO) and New England ISO (ISO-NE).
Blog
Hedge Optimization and Risk Management for Energy Retailers
April 2, 2024
A growing number of solar-plus-storage developers are exploring hedge contracts as alternatives to power purchase agreements for their projects, as it becomes evident that such over-the-counter trades can provide significantly better early-year returns than traditional longer term off take arrangements.
Soaring load growth, rapidly increasing electricity demand, and significant additions of intermittent renewable resources to the supply stack have produced observable shifts in real-time price peaks and associated high volatility.
Blog
New Revenue Insurance to Remove Downside Risk of Merchant Storage
March 21, 2024
Batteries are uniquely poised to earn supernormal returns during the energy transition. However, the long-term uncertainty of storage value, as well as the variability of revenue capture by storage, can challenge the ability of low-risk, low-cost investors to provide the capital needed to accelerate renewable energy storage deployment across the U.S.
Blog
Storage Bid Optimization: Maximizing Value and Emissions Reductions
March 4, 2024
Substantial opportunities exist for merchant storage projects to capitalize on renewable-driven volatility in energy markets, especially in CAISO and ERCOT, which are projected to grow at 20% through 2029.
Blog
Power Portfolios: Reducing Risk and Optimizing Value, Sustainability
February 8, 2024
The reality of weather as the new fuel driving power market volatility necessitates an active approach to energy portfolio risk management. In a recent Portfolio Management webinar, Scott Wrigglesworth, Vice President of Operations & Strategy for Ascend Analytics, and Dr. Carlos Blanco, Managing Director of Risk Management & ESG for Ascend Analytics, discuss how Ascend active portfolio management facilitates well-informed decisions that optimize value over time, reduce financial risk, and improve the ability to monitor progress toward environmental goals.
Blog
Reliability Planning: Weather-Correlated Models Ensure Resource Adequacy & Maximize Value
January 15, 2024
Resource planners must ensure resource adequacy and maximize economic value with the energy transition. Because a greater portion of energy supply flows from renewables and battery storage, maintaining reliability requires more advanced reliability planning that captures the impact of weather on unit outages, energy production, and transmission lines.
Blog
Late-Stage Project Values and Renewable Energy PPAs
January 3, 2024
Synthesizing the PPA market, Ascend concludes the bull market for clean energy suppliers continues with increases in prices across all U.S. power markets. Project delays and procurement mandates combine to stretch timelines and fall short of swelling market demand.
Blog
Low Prices and High Volatility: Renewable Energy and Storage Development Outlook in SPP
December 20, 2023
Southwest Power Pool (SPP) presents multiple renewable energy opportunities for off-takers, developers, and utilities. With 20% load growth during the past eight years and 6 GW of announced coal retirements (reflecting nearly 25% of coal capacity), SPP has immediate capacity needs.
Blog
Increasing Early-Stage Project Success in a Highly Competitive Renewable Energy M&A Landscape
December 13, 2023
Renewable energy project developers and offtakers face a rapidly changing landscape when it comes to mergers and acquisitions (M&A).
Blog
Maximizing Revenue Streams for Storage Projects During the Energy Transition
November 20, 2023
Transitioning from fossil fuels to renewables holds the potential to create cycles of excess and shortages in electricity supply, leading to both depressed and extreme prices. These dynamics lead to opportunities for batteries. At the Ascend Summit 2023, Dr. Brent Nelson, Managing Director of Markets and Strategy for Ascend Analytics, and Santiago Saravia, Renewable Energy Analyst for Ascend Analytics, considered various future revenue streams available to batteries, discussing market outlooks for energy arbitrage opportunities, ancillary services, and capacity markets, as well as tax credit opportunities available through the Inflation Reduction Act.
Transitioning from fossil fuels to renewables holds the potential to create cycles of excess and shortages in electricity supply, leading to both depressed and extreme prices.
Blog
Operating a Renewable Energy Storage Asset: Risks and Challenges
November 18, 2023
In a rapidly shifting renewable energy landscape, successfully operating battery storage assets offers significant opportunities, risks, and challenges related to resource adequacy, cost, regulation, and quality assurance.
In a rapidly shifting renewable energy landscape, successfully operating battery storage assets offers significant opportunities, risks, and challenges related to resource adequacy, cost, regulation, and quality assurance.
Blog
Reshaping Approaches to Energy Integration and Grid Reliability: The Promise of Carbon Capture and Storage Technology, Extended-Duration Storage
November 17, 2023
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology and extended-duration storage look more promising than ever. These technologies have the maturity, scalability, and cost-effectiveness needed to make a substantial impact on reducing carbon emissions and enhancing the reliability of renewable energy grids.
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology and extended-duration storage look more promising than ever.
Blog
Accurate Models, Accurate Forecasts: Improving Resource Adequacy Planning
November 16, 2023
Navigating the energy transition requires innovation both in terms of technology and methodology.
Blog
Navigating Electricity Procurement Challenges During the Energy Transition
November 15, 2023
Electricity procurement challenges require anything but one-size-fits-all solutions. Diverse regions and organizations confront unique hurdles as they work toward meeting energy objectives while maintaining reliability.
Electricity procurement challenges require anything but one-size-fits-all solutions.
Blog
Addressing Risk, Preserving Profitability in the Storage Sector: Navigating the Intricate Web of Risk Management, Revenue Structuring, and Insurance
November 14, 2023
For the renewable energy storage industry to continue to grow and thrive, decision makers must address risk while preserving profitability.
For the renewable energy storage industry to continue to grow and thrive, decision makers must address risk while preserving profitability.
Blog
Managing Uncertainty and Leveraging Diversity: Risks and Opportunities for Developers in a Volatile Renewables and Storage Market
November 13, 2023
The increasingly volatile renewables and storage (RS) development market presents significant risks and opportunities for developers.
The increasingly volatile renewables and storage (RS) development market presents significant risks and opportunities for developers.
Blog
Balancing Cost and Reliability: Strategies for Moving Toward a Carbon-Free Energy Supply
November 10, 2023
Throughout California, aggressive climate legislation has set the stage for carbon-free planning (CFP). Despite challenges related to affordability and reliability, CFP has generated widespread community enthusiasm throughout the Golden State, pushing Community Choice Aggregators (CCAs) and municipal utilities to implement even more aggressive climate goals.
Throughout California, aggressive climate legislation has set the stage for carbon-free planning (CFP). Despite challenges related to affordability and reliability, CFP has generated widespread community enthusiasm throughout the Golden State, pushing Community Choice Aggregators (CCAs) and municipal utilities to implement even more aggressive climate goals.
Blog
Renewable Asset Valuation and M&A Activity: Keys for Navigating a Rapidly Shifting Market Landscape
November 9, 2023
As the renewable and storage industry matures, asset valuations continue to shift in response to major changes in policy and macroeconomic outlook.
As the renewable and storage industry matures, asset valuations continue to shift in response to major changes in policy and macroeconomic outlook.
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Diversify to Decarbonize: Strategies for Meeting Renewable Energy Procurement Challenges
November 8, 2023
Corporate decision makers face an increasingly complex landscape when it comes to sustainable energy procurement.
Corporate decision makers face an increasingly complex landscape when it comes to sustainable energy procurement.
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Managing Expected Load Growth: Adopting A New 'Lens' for Resource Planning Methodologies
November 7, 2023
November 7, 2023
In an era of oversubscribed interconnection queues, gridlocked transmission, and increasingly complex load modellling, the electric industry will have to adopt a new lens to meet the ever-growing demand of a grid increasingly fueled by clean energy.
In an era of oversubscribed interconnection queues, gridlocked transmission, and increasingly complex load modellling, the electric industry will have to adopt a new lens to meet the ever-growing demand of a grid increasingly fueled by clean energy.
Blog
Realizing the Energy Transition | Ascend Summit 2023 Opening Address
October 18, 2023
October 18, 2023
The opening address of the Ascend Summit, delivered by Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO & President of Ascend Analytics.
The Ascend Summit brings together prominent electric power experts to offer fresh perspectives on wholesale electricity.
Blog
ACC Public Hearing
November 18, 2021
In this video, David Millar presents the results of the proposed Arizona Energy Rules cost analysis, performed in conjunction with the three investor-owned utilities in Arizona. Mr. Millar shows the costs of the clean energy pathway are modest compared to a business-as-usual approach, but also that innovation is needed to rein in costs of decarbonizing the last 20 percent of emissions.
In this video, David Millar presents the results of the proposed Arizona Energy Rules cost analysis, performed in conjunction with the three investor-owned utilities in Arizona. Mr. Millar shows the costs of the clean energy pathway are modest compared to a business-as-usual approach, but also that innovation is needed to rein in costs of decarbonizing the last 20 percent of emissions.
Blog
Dr. Gary Dorris in 'Meet the Experts'
October 4, 2019
In this 'Meet the Experts' video, Dr. Gary Dorris discusses the importance of assessing Tuolumne river flow in sustaining economic livelihood for Turlock Irrigation District.
In this 'Meet the Experts' video, Dr. Gary Dorris discusses the importance of assessing Tuolumne river flow in sustaining economic livelihood for Turlock Irrigation District.
Blog
Dr. Gary Dorris presents IRP to City of Glendale
July 27, 2019
Dr. Gary Dorris, CEO of Ascend Analytics, presents Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) to Glendale City Council on July 27, 2019 with storage, renewables, and internal combustion engines, resulting in 5-0 approval.
Blog
Caithness Energy Testimony
February 9, 2019
Dr. Gary Dorris, President of Ascend Analytics, provides "Avoided Cost Testimony" in a public hearing in Helena, Montana.
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Ascend CEO Dr Gary Dorris talks Flexible Generation
August 1, 2016
Blog
NorthWestern Energy Testimony - Part 2
July 10, 2014
Gary Dorris, Ph.D provides testimony for NorthWestern Energy
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NorthWestern Energy Testimony - Part 1
July 9, 2014
Gary Dorris, Ph.D provides testimony for NorthWestern Energy
Blog
Leaders in CTRM Technology - Dr Gary Dorris
July 25, 2012
In the latest video of CommodityPoint's Leaders in CTRM Technology series, Dr. Gary Dorris, President of Ascend Analytics discusses "bridging the chasm" between physical assets and traditional, financial-centric energy trading, and shares his views on how the asset heavy market needs will evolve in the coming years.
March 13, 2025
February 27, 2025
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